Colton Voege arguing that AI is not making software engineers 10x as productive.
10x productivity means ten times the outcomes, not ten times the lines of code. This means what you used to ship in a quarter you now ship in a week and a half. These numbers should make even the truest AI believer pause. The amount of product ideation, story point negotiation, bugfixing, code review, waiting for deployments, testing, and QA in that go into what was traditionally 3 months of work is now getting done in 7 work days? For that to happen each and every one of these bottlenecks has to also seen have 10x productivity gains.
Any software engineer who has worked on actual code in an actual company knows this isn’t possible.
AI is making coding—which is a small portion of what software engineers do—10x productive. That too, sometimes. Colton Voege touches upon quite a few other topics. A worth while read.