Analytics

Mike Swanson explains the history of software tracking and how things became as they are today. Here’s Mike explaning a well known warning—when a measure becomes a target, it stops being a good measure.

One of the most dangerous things about analytics is that they feel objective. A chart is a chart. A number is a number. They have the aesthetic of truth.

I’ve always liked this quote by William Bruce Cameron (often misattributed to Albert Einstein):

“Not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can be counted.”

Metrics don’t measure reality. They measure what your product currently makes easy.

There’s a well-known warning about this, often summarized as: when a measure becomes a target, it stops being a good measure. It’s commonly referred to as Goodhart’s Law, and the broader point shows up in multiple fields, because it keeps happening to humans in systems with incentives.

When I was at Microsoft, a team wanted to remove a feature because “the analytics show that nobody uses it.” If you looked at the UI, though, that feature had been moved deeper and deeper over time:

  • it used to be easy to find
  • then it moved into a menu
  • then into a submenu
  • then into a settings panel
  • then behind an “advanced” section
  • then it was basically invisible

Of course nobody used it!

The analytics didn’t prove the feature was unwanted. The analytics proved that we buried it.

Even worse, once a metric becomes a target, people get promoted for moving it. That doesn’t require anyone to be malicious. It just requires incentives and a dashboard.

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