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Category: Equity

  • Five years as shareholder of IDFC First Bank

    Last year I blogged about completing four years as shareholder of IDFC First Bank. I continue to stay invested in this company and have poured in more of my hard earned money. And as with previous analysis, IDFC First Bank continues to underperform for me after half a decade. But hey, I am in this for long term. I just hope I don’t say the same thing after a decade.

    Last year I had hoped that IDFC First Bank will turn into HDFC Bank. This year—with the number of spam calls from IDFC First Bank rivalling that of Bajaj Finance—I am hoping that it becomes Bajaj Finance!

    Below are my key observations.

    • My investment has not been able to beat Nifty 50 Index. Here I used Nippon India Index Nifty Fund to compare. And with the recent market correction my worth of investment is less than the amount invested.
    • Last time I received dividend was in July 2018. After that the company hasn’t paid any dividend. Dividend yield at cost for me at that time was 1.6%.
    • XIRR is at -5%.

    Return

    Profit

    XIRR

  • Four years as shareholder of Colgate-Palmolive (India) Limited

    Four years ago while brushing my teeth with Colgate, I decided to invest in it. I am using Colgate for more than three decades now, so the company should survive at least few more years. And here we are four years later, Colgate is still there and so is the money that I invested in it. Are the returns great? No. Are the returns good? Still No. Are the return average? Sadly, yes. But hey, it could be worse considering the research that I did here.

    Returns and Profit

    Over these four years I invested 8 times in Colgate. The returns across these four years have largely been positive except during the COVID-19 pandemic market crash. But since last couple of months the share price has tumbled erasing a good chunk of my (unrealised) profits.

    On the other hand, 1%+ dividend yield at cost is much better than the dividends that is given by other companies.

    Profit Percent

    XIRR

    XIRR across these four years has been around 15% and I was happy with that. It was during the last 3 months that the share price price has tumbled putting my XIRR at 5%.

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • Four years as shareholder of HDFC Life Insurance

    Four years ago I subscribed to the HDFC Life Insurance IPO. And I got lucky! I got the minimum quantity of 50 shares with HDFC Life Insurance opening up with a nice 17% gain on first day. After that I bought the share 3 more times. This is how it has performed over these four years.

    Return

    Over these four years the worth of my investment has never fallen below my invested amount. The dividend yield at cost for me has been around 0.5% with the company declaring dividends thrice over four years. They skipped the COVID-19 year like other companies.

    Profit

    The V-shape that you see between the period Jan-2020 to Jul-2020 is the COVID-19 market crash and its subsequent recovery. I do regret not being able to buy more during the crash. But the recovery was so quick that I had little to no funds to invest.

    XIRR

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • What to do with your portfolio when stock market crashes?

    I don’t know. But the folks at Marcellus know. They call it ‘Post-facto rebalancing’.

    …we stay fully invested at all times and rebalance our portfolio in two ways to benefit from a stock market crash. Firstly, after a crash, we rebalance the portfolio to increase our allocation to companies that have undergone high drawdowns (we finance this investment by shaving off our allocations to companies that have NOT undergone high drawdowns). Secondly, after the share prices of our portfolio companies have recovered, we again consider rebalancing the portfolio to sell some allocation in companies that have seen a sharper recovery than the rest of the portfolio. Such rebalancing is also carried out if share price dislocations happen without a broader stock market crash.

    How Portfolio Rebalancing Tools Enhance Investors’ Returns

    They even have an real life example and discuss on the pros and cons later in the newsletter.

  • Four years as shareholder of ITC

    ITC—in my humble opinion—is probably the most polarized stock in India. On one hand, you have the die hard fans who are waiting for its resurrection some day to prove them right. On the other hand, there are the detractors who don’t miss a single opportunity to poke fun at it. And some of those jokes are actually good. Don’t believe me, just Google ‘ITC meme’ and get ready for laughs.

    When I invested in ITC I didn’t know it was butt of jokes—pun intended—on the internet. I put some money in it and forgot. Then I received my first dividend. And I started day dreaming about living off with ITC’s dividend in my retirement. But sanity prevailed and here I am still holding ITC, waiting for its resurrection but not hoping to live off its dividend.

    Return

    The returns are—well—nothing to talk about. Apart from few spikes here and there, the returns have largely been flat.

    Profit (rather the absence of it)

    In case of ITC my profits and losses have always made sure they are never too far from 0%. They will go till 10% or –10%, but never too far.

    XIRR

    With such dismal returns over past four years you may ask why am I still holding ITC? Well I ask the same question to 250+ mutual funds (as on Sep 2021) holding ITC.

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • Three years as shareholder of Havells

    Three years ago I started investing in Havells. During the first two years the gains were pretty average. But during last one year the stock has zoomed and so has my returns.

    Return

    I invested only four times in Havells and was planning to invest more, but at the current price I maybe overpaying.

    Profit

    At the current price levels, my amount invested in Havells has more than doubled. While the amount invested wasn’t significant but the profit percent surely is.

    XIRR

    The current XIRR of 45%—which is certainly impressive—is not sustainable in the long run. But with the good run that this stock is having I am hoping for fat returns of 20% over long term.

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • Five years as shareholder of Asian Paints

    Five years ago I started my investment journey in Asian Paints. And then I stopped after four months! For the next three years I did not invest in Asian Paints as I was trying to ‘diversify’. At least that’s what I think I was doing. Looking back at those three years and current share price of Asian Paints, it seems like a lost opportunity. And that too a big one. Along with HDFC Bank and Pidilite Industries, Asian Paints has high allocation in my portfolio and I invested heavily in it during COVID pandemic market crash.

    Return

    Profit

    XIRR

    Asian Paints has consistently maintained a positive XIRR, even during the COVID pandemic market crash. And because of market rally after that, my XIRR currently stands at more than 30%. Keeping my fingers crossed that this trend continues.

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • Four years as shareholder of VIP Industries

    Four years ago after my thorough research I decided to invest in VIP Industries (and I can’t remember what that research was). I invested twice in 2017 when the share price was just below ₹ 200. After that the share price climbed sharply resulting in more than 200% return in next one year. I patted myself on the back for my (non-existant) stock picking skills. Then came COVID. The COVID pandemic crash wiped off everything in one month. One month! I invested twice during the crash to accumulate more shares at lower prices. The returns have since recovered but it is nowhere near the 200% mark that I once saw.

    Return

    Profit

    The COVID pandemic crash was probably the most severe for VIP Industries in my portfolio. From 170% profit to 20% loss in one month. And it made sense considering the travel ban imposed because of COVID. It has recovered but I am yet to see the astronomical heights that I saw in Sep 2018.

    XIRR

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • Four years as shareholder of Pidilite Industries

    Four years ago after my thorough research I decided to invest in Pidilite Industries (the company made Fevicol and that was the only research I did).

    Return

    Pidilite Industries has been probably one of my most consistent performers. Even during the COVID pandemic crash, the worth of my investment never went below my amount invested.

    Profit

    Except during the early months of my investment I am yet to see a loss with my investment in Pidilite Industries.

    XIRR

    My ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ has been so good with Pidilite Industries, that even at the worst point it was giving better returns than fixed deposits.

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • Six years as shareholder of HDFC Bank

    Six years ago after my thorough research I decided to invest in HDFC Bank (my ICICI Bank relationship manager advised me to invest in HDFC Bank and not in ICICI Bank, and I am glad he did).

    Incidentally, HDFC Bank was the start of my investing journey. It was the first share that I bought. Being a rookie back then, at one point I bought just one share to round off the number of shares with me. After the contract statement came I realised that I had paid a hefty brokerage charge on that.

    Return

    Between Feb 2018 and Feb 2020 I did not invest in HDFC Bank. Why? Because I was busy investing (ahem, diversifying) in Greenply, IDFC First Bank and Supreme Industries. That was a lost opportunity in hindsight.

    Profit/Loss

    XIRR

    HDFC Bank is one of the stars of my portfolio, consistently maintaining XIRR of more than 20% except during the COVID pandemic crash where my five years worth of gain were wiped off in matter of weeks. It has since recovered though.

    I invested steadily in HDFC Bank during the COVID pandemic market crash as I wasn’t sure if other companies will survive the post COVID pandemic era. And I am hoping HDFC Bank will.

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.