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Category: Stock Market

  • Five years as shareholder of Motherson Sumi [and Wiring]

    Five years as shareholder of Motherson Sumi [and Wiring]

    With the general consensus of 10 years being long term, I am now half way through as a long term shareholder of Motherson Sumi. Below are my key takeaways.

    • I have invested 6 times across these five years.
    • It has been a roller coaster ride with this stock because when I first invested in the company, the share price was already at its peak. And then the share price started its downfall.
    • During the COVID-19 market crash my XIRR went from an already negative 15% to negative 45%. Ouch!
    • The company very recently demerged its wiring business in a separate entity as Montherson Sumi Wiring. With the demerger I got 1 share of Motherson Sumi Wiring for every share of Motherson Sumi Systems. I am including that also in my calculations. Hopefully this demerger should unlock value like it did in the case of my investment in Greenply.
    • After four years of negative XIRR, last year I finally saw it go positive. Yay! But the Russian invasion of Ukraine pulled it down. Ouch! And the listing of demerged Motherson Sumi Wiring pulled it up again. Yay!
    • My investment in Motherson Sumi has not been able to beat the index fund. Hoping to beat it in the next five years. 🤞

    Returns

    Profit

    XIRR

    Related reading

  • Four years as shareholder of Kansai Nerolac

    Four years as shareholder of Kansai Nerolac

    Happy with my investment in Asian Paints, four years ago I decided to invest in another paint company Kansai Nerolac. My returns have been, well, not good. Below are my key takeaways.

    • I have invested 6 times across these four years.
    • The company pays dividends regularly, but my dividend yield at cost has never touched 1%.
    • During the COVID-19 market crash my XIRR went from 0% to negative 15%.
    • The best XIRR came during Jan 2021 when it touched 45%. But that was an anomaly and it quickly fell to a realistic level of 25%.
    • The company has been barely able to beat Nifty 50 Index fund and since last one year Nifty 50 Index has beaten it by a huge margin. As of today while the returns in Nifty 50 Index fund would have been 25%, Kansai Nerolac’s returns has been at –5%.
    • The Russian invasion of Ukraine was more severe than COVID-19 market crash with my XIRR going from 15% to –10%.

    Return

    Profit

    XIRR

    Related reading

  • Four years as shareholder of Supreme Industries

    Four years as shareholder of Supreme Industries

    I have been investing in Supreme Industries for four years. And after four years I can say that I happy with my investment. Here are my key takeaways.

    • I have invested 8 times across these four years.
    • The company has been regularly paying dividends and the best dividend yield at cost was 1.4% that I have received in Jun 2021.
    • During the COVID-19 market crash my XIRR went from positive 15% to negative 15%.
    • The best XIRR came in Oct 2021 at 35%.
    • Over the last two years the company has been able to beat Nifty 50 Index.
    • The Russian invasion of Ukraine dented my returns but I used it to accumulate more shares—something that I did not do during the COVID-19 market crash.

    Return

    Profit

    XIRR

    Related reading:

  • Four years as shareholder of Hatsun Agro

    Four years as shareholder of Hatsun Agro

    Four years ago after my thorough research—which I can’t remember now—I decided to invest in Hatsun Agro. I knew very little of the company when I started investing in it, apart from that it was in the dairy industry. Overtime I learned that it has been in existence for 50 years and 20 mutual funds had invested in it.

    I think the first time I bought Hatsun Agro, it was at its peak. Because I did not see any profits for a good two and a half years. It was only after the announcement of company giving bonus on Dec 2020 the share price started to move upward. I decided I will accumulate more and made the same mistake of buying the share at its peak the second and third time. The share price has been been in a correction mode for last six months and eroded a good chunk of my profits. For a fleeting moment—Oct 2021—I was kicking index funds behind before crashing and burning.

    Hatsun Agro has been relatively consistent with its dividends—no complaints there—and my dividend yield at cost has improved to 1.1% after bonus issue.

    Returns

    Profit

    XIRR

  • Five years as shareholder of IDFC First Bank

    Five years as shareholder of IDFC First Bank

    Last year I blogged about completing four years as shareholder of IDFC First Bank. I continue to stay invested in this company and have poured in more of my hard earned money. And as with previous analysis, IDFC First Bank continues to underperform for me after half a decade. But hey, I am in this for long term. I just hope I don’t say the same thing after a decade.

    Last year I had hoped that IDFC First Bank will turn into HDFC Bank. This year—with the number of spam calls from IDFC First Bank rivalling that of Bajaj Finance—I am hoping that it becomes Bajaj Finance!

    Below are my key observations.

    • My investment has not been able to beat Nifty 50 Index. Here I used Nippon India Index Nifty Fund to compare. And with the recent market correction my worth of investment is less than the amount invested.
    • Last time I received dividend was in July 2018. After that the company hasn’t paid any dividend. Dividend yield at cost for me at that time was 1.6%.
    • XIRR is at -5%.

    Return

    Profit

    XIRR

  • Four years as shareholder of Colgate-Palmolive (India) Limited

    Four years as shareholder of Colgate-Palmolive (India) Limited

    Four years ago while brushing my teeth with Colgate, I decided to invest in it. I am using Colgate for more than three decades now, so the company should survive at least few more years. And here we are four years later, Colgate is still there and so is the money that I invested in it. Are the returns great? No. Are the returns good? Still No. Are the return average? Sadly, yes. But hey, it could be worse considering the research that I did here.

    Returns and Profit

    Over these four years I invested 8 times in Colgate. The returns across these four years have largely been positive except during the COVID-19 pandemic market crash. But since last couple of months the share price has tumbled erasing a good chunk of my (unrealised) profits.

    On the other hand, 1%+ dividend yield at cost is much better than the dividends that is given by other companies.

    Profit Percent

    XIRR

    XIRR across these four years has been around 15% and I was happy with that. It was during the last 3 months that the share price price has tumbled putting my XIRR at 5%.

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • Four years as shareholder of HDFC Life Insurance

    Four years as shareholder of HDFC Life Insurance

    Four years ago I subscribed to the HDFC Life Insurance IPO. And I got lucky! I got the minimum quantity of 50 shares with HDFC Life Insurance opening up with a nice 17% gain on first day. After that I bought the share 3 more times. This is how it has performed over these four years.

    Return

    Over these four years the worth of my investment has never fallen below my invested amount. The dividend yield at cost for me has been around 0.5% with the company declaring dividends thrice over four years. They skipped the COVID-19 year like other companies.

    Profit

    The V-shape that you see between the period Jan-2020 to Jul-2020 is the COVID-19 market crash and its subsequent recovery. I do regret not being able to buy more during the crash. But the recovery was so quick that I had little to no funds to invest.

    XIRR

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • What to do with your portfolio when stock market crashes?

    I don’t know. But the folks at Marcellus know. They call it ‘Post-facto rebalancing’.

    …we stay fully invested at all times and rebalance our portfolio in two ways to benefit from a stock market crash. Firstly, after a crash, we rebalance the portfolio to increase our allocation to companies that have undergone high drawdowns (we finance this investment by shaving off our allocations to companies that have NOT undergone high drawdowns). Secondly, after the share prices of our portfolio companies have recovered, we again consider rebalancing the portfolio to sell some allocation in companies that have seen a sharper recovery than the rest of the portfolio. Such rebalancing is also carried out if share price dislocations happen without a broader stock market crash.

    How Portfolio Rebalancing Tools Enhance Investors’ Returns

    They even have an real life example and discuss on the pros and cons later in the newsletter.

  • Four years as shareholder of ITC

    Four years as shareholder of ITC

    ITC—in my humble opinion—is probably the most polarized stock in India. On one hand, you have the die hard fans who are waiting for its resurrection some day to prove them right. On the other hand, there are the detractors who don’t miss a single opportunity to poke fun at it. And some of those jokes are actually good. Don’t believe me, just Google ‘ITC meme’ and get ready for laughs.

    When I invested in ITC I didn’t know it was butt of jokes—pun intended—on the internet. I put some money in it and forgot. Then I received my first dividend. And I started day dreaming about living off with ITC’s dividend in my retirement. But sanity prevailed and here I am still holding ITC, waiting for its resurrection but not hoping to live off its dividend.

    Return

    The returns are—well—nothing to talk about. Apart from few spikes here and there, the returns have largely been flat.

    Profit (rather the absence of it)

    In case of ITC my profits and losses have always made sure they are never too far from 0%. They will go till 10% or –10%, but never too far.

    XIRR

    With such dismal returns over past four years you may ask why am I still holding ITC? Well I ask the same question to 250+ mutual funds (as on Sep 2021) holding ITC.

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.

  • Three years as shareholder of Havells

    Three years as shareholder of Havells

    Three years ago I started investing in Havells. During the first two years the gains were pretty average. But during last one year the stock has zoomed and so has my returns.

    Return

    I invested only four times in Havells and was planning to invest more, but at the current price I maybe overpaying.

    Profit

    At the current price levels, my amount invested in Havells has more than doubled. While the amount invested wasn’t significant but the profit percent surely is.

    XIRR

    The current XIRR of 45%—which is certainly impressive—is not sustainable in the long run. But with the good run that this stock is having I am hoping for fat returns of 20% over long term.

    NOTE: XIRR for initial months varies wildly and is not useful for any analysis. But once the investments complete minimum of 1 year, XIRR gives me a much better picture. So I calculate ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ which calculates XIRR only for the investments which have completed minimum of one year while ‘XIRR’ continues to calculate for all the investments irrespective of how much time has been completed. There are some periods where ‘XIRR’ and ‘XIRR (>1 year)’ calculate to the same amount as for that time all my investments had completed minimum of 1 year.